R&D | XNef × ATR | Mitsuo Kawato, PhD, CEO

Precision Psychiatry by Reading and Rewriting Brain Circuits

Mental disorders remain among the leading causes of disability worldwide, yet clinical diagnosis and treatment selection still rely largely on symptom-based criteria. Recent advances in neuroimaging and machine learning have opened new opportunities to develop objective brain-circuit biomarkers that characterize the neural mechanisms underlying psychiatric disorders and guide individualized treatment.

First, we briefly outline our efforts toward brain-circuit precision psychiatry by integrating artificial intelligence, computational neuroscience, neuroimaging, and neurofeedback. We have developed resting-state functional connectivity biomarkers for several psychiatric disorders, including major depressive disorder, schizophrenia, and autism spectrum disorder [1-5]. These biomarkers have demonstrated robust generalizability across imaging sites and populations [1,3,4], and one [4] has received regulatory approval in Japan as a software as a medical device. Beyond improving diagnosis, these biomarkers can characterize the neural circuits underlying symptoms and cognitive functions, stratify patients into biologically homogeneous subtypes, and support personalized treatment selection [2,6].

Building upon these biomarkers, we have developed Functional Connectivity Neurofeedback (FCNef) and Decoded Neurofeedback (DecNef), which enable participants to modify targeted brain circuits without explicit cognitive strategies [7,8]. Clinical studies have demonstrated promising therapeutic effects in depression, schizophrenia, post-traumatic stress disorder, and specific phobia, including double-blind randomised controlled trials for anxiety-related disorders [9,12-14]. These studies illustrate how objective biomarkers can be directly linked to personalised circuit-based interventions.

Finally, we present the emerging framework of brain-circuit precision psychiatry, in which biomarkers are used not only for diagnosis and patient stratification but also for selecting, optimizing, and monitoring individualized interventions. Our long-term vision is to establish state-dependent, closed-loop interventions that dynamically interact with ongoing brain dynamics to maximize therapeutic efficacy. This integrated framework may accelerate the translation of neuroscience into practical treatments and provide a foundation for next-generation precision mental healthcare.

Read, identify, rewrite, and recover brain-circuit platform

1. Overview

Precision Psychiatry by Reading and Rewriting Brain Circuits

A non-invasive, AI-guided platform designed to identify dysfunctional brain circuits and train the brain toward healthier patterns—without drugs, implants, or conscious exposure to distressing memories.

Mental health care still relies primarily on symptoms and trial-and-error treatment. Our programme integrates multisite brain imaging, machine learning, and advanced neurofeedback to create a continuous pathway from objective brain-circuit measurement to personalised intervention. Developed through decades of research led by Mitsuo Kawato at ATR and translated toward clinical use by XNef, the platform combines generalisable brain-network biomarkers [1-5] with Decoded Neurofeedback (DecNef) and Functional Connectivity Neurofeedback (FCNef) [7,8].

The goal is not to replace clinicians. It is to provide clinicians and patients with additional tools to identify neural circuits associated with symptoms, stratify biologically heterogeneous patient groups, select more appropriate care, and directly train selected circuits toward healthier states [2,6, 9-14].

2. The Innovation & Novelty

From observing the brain to causally changing it

Conventional neuroimaging reveals associations between brain activity and behaviour, but association alone does not establish causality. Kawato proposed “manipulative neuroscience”: a human-neuroscience framework in which a precisely defined brain state is induced and the resulting behavioural or clinical change is measured [15].

DecNef combines multivoxel fMRI decoding, real-time feedback, spontaneous brain activity, and reinforcement learning. A machine-learning decoder estimates how closely a participant’s current brain pattern matches a target information. Feedback is linked to that estimate while the participant remains unaware of the neural representation being reinforced. The original demonstration showed that repeatedly inducing a target pattern in early visual cortex was sufficient to produce perceptual learning without presenting the trained visual stimulus [7].

FCNef extends the same principle from local activity patterns to interactions between distributed brain regions. It measures functional connectivity in real time and rewards movement of a selected circuit toward a desired dynamics. Training can produce durable changes in intrinsic functional networks [8].

How decoded neurofeedback works

A theranostic brain-circuit platform

The innovation is not a single algorithm or device. It is an integrated theranostic platform that uses the same biological level—the brain circuit—for measurement, stratification, target selection, intervention, and response monitoring [2, 6, 9-14]. This creates a new clinical logic: identify the circuit associated with a person’s symptoms or cognitive impairment, then use that circuit as the target for neurofeedback.

3. Scientific Evidence by Condition

3.1 PTSD and trauma-related symptoms

Treating trauma-related neural representations without conscious exposure

Exposure-based therapies can be effective, but repeated conscious engagement with traumatic memories can be distressing and may contribute to treatment burden or dropout. DecNef offers a distinct approach by targeting trauma-related neural representations without requiring conscious re-exposure [9, 12-14, 16].

The evidence chain progressed from fear conditioning [16], through common fears and specific phobias [9,14], to a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled PTSD study [13]. Specifically, PTSD DecNef reduced CAPS (Clinician Administered PTSD Scale) by 30-40, much larger than minimal clinically important difference 10 [12,13].

Clinical evidence ladder for PTSD
PTSD treatment study and outcomes

3.2 Depression

From generalisable biomarkers to circuit-guided intervention

The programme developed a generalisable major-depression brain-network marker using multisite resting-state fMRI and sparse machine learning [4]. It then advanced from diagnosis toward stratification and intervention: circuit information has been used to identify biologically relevant subgroups, predict antidepressant response [6], and select FCNef targets [10].

FCNef studies showed that normalisation of dorsolateral prefrontal cortex–precuneus connectivity was associated with reduced depressive symptoms and brooding [10]. Preliminary work in treatment-resistant depression further indicated that patients could learn to alter the target circuit, accompanied by symptom improvement [17].

Depression biomarker and circuit-guided intervention

3.3 Psychosis / schizophrenia

Circuit-level intervention for psychosis-relevant cognition

For psychosis, the strongest current intervention evidence concerns cognitive improvements in schizophrenia. Cognitive impairment in schizophrenia constitutes one of most urgent unmet medical needs in psychosis because neither medication or behavioral treatments is effective. FCNef targeting the left frontoparietal working-memory network improved working-memory performance, and the magnitude of circuit change was associated with cognitive improvement [11]. Working memory of the treated patients recovered to the level of healthy control participants. This directly supports the core claim that a biomarker-defined circuit can serve as an intervention target.

Schizophrenia circuit-level intervention evidence

4. Multisite Generalisability as an Independent Scientific Achievement

Overcoming one of psychiatric neuroimaging’s central barriers

Many neuroimaging classifiers perform well in discovery data but fail in independent cohorts because scanner differences, sampling bias, protocol effects, and within-subject variability overwhelm disease-related signals [1-5].

The team addressed this problem through large multisite datasets, travelling-subject measurements [3], statistical harmonization [3], sparse feature selection [1,4], and ensemble averaging [3-5]. The resulting major-depression marker maintained approximately 70% performance in independent multisite cohorts [4] and prospectively acquired patients [18]. Subsequent computational analysis explained how sparse selection and ensemble averaging improve the signal-to-noise ratio of the biomarker [5].

Multisite harmonization approach
Generalizable biomarker performance
Generalizable biomarker performance

5. Evidence at a Glance

TechnologyCondition / domainEvidence to featureStatus
DecNefSpecific phobiasDouble-blind clinical trial; physiological fear-response outcomesPeer-reviewed
DecNefPTSDRandomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled; 3-day intervention; aggregate CAPS dataPreliminary report published and manuscript under second revision
FCNefDepressionCircuit normalisation, symptom and brooding change, treatment-resistant pilotPeer-reviewed pilot evidence
FCNefSchizophreniaFrontoparietal circuit strengthening and working-memory improvementPeer-reviewed pilot evidence
Brain-circuit markerMajor depressionIndependent multisite and prospective generalisationPeer-reviewed; first-stage PMDA approval

6. Lived Experience & Co-design

Meaningful progress in mental health care requires more than scientific innovation. It requires continuous dialogue with people who live with mental health conditions, their families and care communities.

XNef and ATR engage with patient communities through educational programmes, public lectures and dialogue events focused on the future of brain-circuit-based mental healthcare. For example, a public lecture hosted by the Nautilus Association addressed why bipolar disorder diagnosis is difficult and discussed clinical experience, neuroimaging research and AI-supported diagnostic perspectives with people with lived experience, family members, supporters and related participants.

In addition to open dialogue, PTSD patient feedback for DecNef treatment has been collected through structured questionnaires and engagement activities. Individual responses and detailed survey results are confidential and should not be publicly disclosed. Aggregated insights have been used internally to improve communication strategies, improve neurofeedback designs, identify unmet needs and inform future translational research priorities.

Planned co-design governance loop

7. Global Adoption & Real-World Impact

A continuous path from fMRI precision to EEG accessibility

fMRI remains the discovery, calibration, and high-spatial-precision platform. EEG is the scaling modality to which validated fMRI-defined circuit targets and decoding models will be transferred and prospectively tested.

The immediate path is deployment of validated fMRI-based tools in specialist clinical centres using standardised protocols, statistical harmonisation, and central quality assurance. The intermediate path is development of subject-general DecNef decoders and reduced calibration. The longer-term path is fMRI-to-EEG transfer, prospective validation, and regional delivery through trained clinical partners.

Adoption roadmap from fMRI targets to validated EEG models
Global access model with specialist hubs and regional EEG delivery

8. What Success Would Change

Success would mean that care is informed not only by a diagnostic label, but by the brain circuit linked to symptoms, cognition, and treatment response. It would provide additional options for people who do not respond to medication, reduce reliance on distressing exposure for trauma-related conditions, and create a validated pathway from specialist precision neuroimaging to more accessible non-invasive treatment.

9. Team, Governance and Translation

Through four generations of funding supported by Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology, and AMED, many neuropsychiatry groups collaborated in establishing the world largest fMRI database of patients with most imaging sites, and most disorder numbers [19-21]. Mitsuo Kawato, PhD, has led the development of computational neuroscience, brain decoding, DecNef, FCNef, and brain-circuit biomarkers at ATR. He founded XNef in 2017 to translate these discoveries into regulated medical technologies. The programme combines neuroscience, psychiatry, machine learning, radiology, clinical trials, quality systems, regulation, and international collaboration.

Clinical governance will separate exploratory research claims from validated clinical use. Each public result should identify the study design, sample size, peer-review status, and regulatory status. Algorithms should be evaluated for transportability, demographic performance, test–retest reliability, and clinically meaningful benefit.

10. References

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